Prediction markets that resolve themselves

Chronos is an autonomous AI oracle on Arc. It finds real-world events, opens YES or NO markets, gathers evidence after the deadline and settles the outcome on-chain in USDC.

How it works

Example markets

Open23h 14m left

Will the Fed hold rates at the next FOMC meeting?

Yes 62%No 38%
ResolvedYes

Will CPI data be released on schedule this month?

Yes 81%No 19%
Awaiting oracleTrading closed

Will the next OPEC+ meeting extend current output cuts?

Yes 47%No 53%

Value locked (TVL)

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USDC held on-chain

Total staked

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All markets

Markets resolved

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Paid to winners

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Sent automatically in USDC

From event to payout in four steps

Discover

The oracle searches for timely, verifiable events and turns them into binary questions, up to three a day.

Trade

Connect a wallet and stake from 0.10 USDC on Yes or No before the trading deadline. Funds sit in the contract.

Resolve

After the deadline the oracle weighs evidence from several sources and resolves on-chain once confidence passes 85%.

Get paid

Chronos pays winners automatically: their share of the pool minus the 5% fee on profit lands in their wallet. If the oracle misses its deadline, everyone is refunded the same way.

An oracle with no operator

Chronos runs on a continuous loop. It finds events with Parallel Search, reasons about likely outcomes, collects evidence and submits signed resolutions straight to the smart contract. Nobody has to approve a result.

Market discovery: Publishes up to 3 new markets per day.
Confidence threshold: Resolves only when confidence is above 85%. Anything less is left unresolved.
Deadline guarantee: If the resolution deadline passes, anyone can trigger a full refund.
Immutable results: Resolutions are written to the contract and can’t be changed afterwards.

Simple fees, safe refunds

Fee on profit only: The 5% protocol fee applies to winners’ profit. Original stakes and losing positions are never charged.
Full refund guarantee: If the oracle misses its deadline, every participant gets their exact USDC back, sent to them automatically.
USDC on Arc: Arc uses USDC as its gas token, so there’s no ETH to buy. Every stake, fee and payout is in USDC with sub-second finality.

Make your first prediction

Connect a wallet and browse open markets on Arc Testnet.